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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Probability4.6%
24h change-
24h high / low-
24h volume-
Liquidity$267.3K
Resolves in…
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Order book
PriceSizeTotal
- 4.7%200200
- 4.8%2,5352,735
- 5.0%15,37018,105
- 5.2%10018,205
- 5.3%80019,005
- 5.4%19,71138,717
- 5.5%47,90086,617
- 5.7%3,43790,053
- 6.0%34190,394
Spread 0.20%4.35%4.6%
- 4.5%1818
- 4.4%2,4312,449
- 4.3%1502,599
- 4.2%52,604
- 4.0%1,0503,654
- 3.8%2203,874
- 3.7%503,924
- 3.5%1,5205,444
- 3.4%13,30018,744
Recent trades
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Get covered
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- Current probability
- 4.6%
- Available depth
- $220.2K
- Liquidity
- $267.3K
- Resolves by
- Aug 15, 2026
- Status
- Live
Cumulative depthmid 4.6%
Resolution source
Polymarket resolution rules
How coverage works
Your policy is a YES position on this market. If the covered event happens and the market resolves YES by 8/15/2026, your payout is settled automatically to your wallet, with no claims forms. The price you see is the live market probability of the event.