weather
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?
Probability98.6%
24h change-
24h high / low-
24h volume-
Liquidity$6,866
Resolves in…
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Order book
PriceSizeTotal
- 99.8%1010
- 99.9%2030
Spread 2.30%2.33%98.6%
- 97.5%1010
- 96.1%2030
- 96.0%1040
- 95.2%60100
- 28.1%30130
- 28.0%140270
- 26.0%20290
- 1.1%33323
- 1.0%55378
Recent trades
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Get covered
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- Current probability
- 98.6%
- Available depth
- $30
- Liquidity
- $6,866
- Resolves by
- Oct 4, 2026
- Status
- Live
Cumulative depthmid 98.6%
Resolution source
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
How coverage works
Your policy is a YES position on this market. If the covered event happens and the market resolves YES by 10/4/2026, your payout is settled automatically to your wallet, with no claims forms. The price you see is the live market probability of the event.